XRP Price Prediction: XRP Approaches Key Support Level of $2.00

As of July 10, 2025, Ripple (XRP) remains under pressure, with prices fluctuating narrowly between $2.08 and $2.17, just a step away from the psychological level of $2.00. In the past week, XRP tested the $2.00 support level multiple times, briefly rebounding to $2.21, but weak buying interest led to a rapid decline in upward momentum. Technical analysts warn that if $2.00 is lost, downside potential could open up to $1.80 or even $1.60, representing a drop of more than 20% from the current price.

##Technical Analysis Alerts: Three Major Bearish Signals

1. Descending triangle pattern established: Since the February high, XRP has formed a typical descending triangle structure - with lows hovering around $2.00, while highs gradually decline ($2.60 → $2.40 → $2.30). Historical data shows that this pattern has a 54% probability of breaking down, and the high fluctuation in the cryptocurrency market may increase the failure rate to 60-70%.
2. The moving average system is in a bearish arrangement: the current price has fallen below all key moving averages: 50-day EMA ($2.13), 100-day EMA ($2.15), and 200-day EMA ($2.09). Among them, the 200-day moving average has turned from support to resistance, suppressing any rebound attempts.
3. Momentum indicators turned fully negative

• MACD: Continuously below the zero axis, the red histogram is expanding, confirming that bearish momentum is strengthening.
• RSI: hovering below 40, close to the oversold zone but showing no divergence, reflecting a solid downtrend.

##Macroeconomic bearish pressure intensifies

• Geopolitical Risk: The tensions between the United States and Iran triggered a risk-off sentiment, prompting investors to withdraw from high-risk assets. In the flash crash at the beginning of July, XRP temporarily fell to a low of $1.90.
• The derivatives market is shrinking: open interest (OI) has sharply decreased from $5.52 billion in May to $3.54 billion, indicating that funds are withdrawing from the XRP futures market.
• Spot selling pressure emerges: Although the exchange reserves have decreased from 2.9 billion XRP to 2.3 billion, a large number of sell orders are piled up in the $2.20–$2.30 range, forming a "resistance wall."

##Bullish Hopes: Three Potential Turning Points Despite the severe situation, some fundamental factors still provide support:

• Institutional funds flowing against the trend: Last week, net inflow of XRP-related financial products was 2.69 million USD, indicating that long-term funds are positioning themselves at a low.
• Cross-chain collaboration to expand applications: Ripple has partnered with Wormhole to enhance interoperability between the XRP Ledger and EVM chains, promoting the issuance of stablecoins and RWA assets on XRPL, which may increase network utility.
• Symmetrical Triangle Breakout Expectations: Analyst Egrag Crypto pointed out that the symmetrical triangle at the monthly level has been consolidating for 334 days, with the breakout window period from early July to mid-September. If it can break through 2.40 USD, the target can be seen at 8–27 USD.

##Long and Short Strategies: Key Level Response Guide

• Bearish dominant scenario (probability > 60%) If the daily closing price falls below $2.00, the downside target will be set at $1.90 (June low) and $1.80 (April tariff crisis bottom). After technical analysis confirms the breakout, a rebound to $2.00 is an opportunity to short.
• Bullish reversal signal (requires fundamental support) breaking through 2.09 USD (200-day EMA) can initially stop the fall, and stabilizing at 2.35 USD (upper trend line of the downtrend) will disrupt the bearish structure. Catalytic factors may include:
  • SEC reaches final settlement with Ripple
  • XRP spot ETF application progress
  • Cross-chain integration drives a surge in on-chain transaction volume

Long-term Outlook: Is There Light at the End of the Dark Tunnel?

Despite the high short-term risks, multiple institutions still maintain a positive forecast for 2025:

• Conservative scenario: If the support at 1.80 USD can hold, it is expected to rebound to 2.65–3.00 USD by the end of the year.
• Bull market scenario: If the symmetrical triangle breaks in July to September, along with the increase in Ripple IPO or RLUSD stablecoin adoption, the target for 2030 could reach 4.20–10 dollars.

##Conclusion: The battle for $2.00 sets the tone for the mid-term trend Currently, XRP is at a critical turning point in both technical and fundamental aspects. $2.00 is not only a psychological barrier but also a watershed between bullish and bearish forces—breaking it opens up the potential for significant declines, while holding it accumulates momentum for a rebound. Investors need to pay close attention to three points:

1. Geopolitical and regulatory trends (such as SEC policies);
2. Changes in exchange reserves (below 2.3 billion XRP will alleviate selling pressure);
3. The validity of the breakout at 2.35 dollars (must be accompanied by increased trading volume).

Before the signals are clear, strict risk control (such as setting a stop loss at $1.95) is essential to preserve strength during fluctuations.

Author: Blog Team *This content does not constitute any offer, solicitation, or advice. You should always seek independent professional advice before making any investment decisions. *Please note that Gate may limit or prohibit all or part of the services from restricted areas. Please read the user agreement for more information, link: